https://www.redoakquant.com/blog daily 0.75 2026-02-21 https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/wave-structure-improving-portfolio-positioned-for-participation monthly 0.5 2026-02-21 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/3ee77521-f967-4f83-8b2a-a47b16341218/Wave+State+Green+Star+Half+Up+.png Current Analysis - Wave Structure Improving, Portfolio Positioned for Participation - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/8fc08468-b070-48bf-9c98-629d14431ce7/Bullish+Continuation.png Current Analysis - Wave Structure Improving, Portfolio Positioned for Participation - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/defensive-wins-aggressive-doesnt-lose-outperformance-since-inception monthly 0.5 2026-02-14 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/87c1dea6-9104-4218-9007-bb28dff5b998/Wave+State+Green+Star+Entry.png Current Analysis - Defensive Wins, Aggressive Doesn't Lose, Outperformance Since Inception - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/8fc08468-b070-48bf-9c98-629d14431ce7/Bullish+Continuation.png Current Analysis - Defensive Wins, Aggressive Doesn't Lose, Outperformance Since Inception - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-alert-research-portfolio-switches-to-bullish-continuation monthly 0.5 2026-02-11 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/87c1dea6-9104-4218-9007-bb28dff5b998/Wave+State+Green+Star+Entry.png Current Analysis - Market Alert: Research Portfolio Switches to Bullish-Continuation - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/8fc08468-b070-48bf-9c98-629d14431ce7/Bullish+Continuation.png Current Analysis - Market Alert: Research Portfolio Switches to Bullish-Continuation - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/defensive-shift-cut-losses-by-96 monthly 0.5 2026-02-07 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/44326c28-6e64-40b3-a88d-eb0092caf5df/Defensive+Long.png Current Analysis - Defensive Shift Cut Losses by 96% - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/09e7df81-581e-4bcc-903a-e349a6f4ca79/Wave+State+Trough+Building.png Current Analysis - Defensive Shift Cut Losses by 96% - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/defensive-shift-cut-weekly-losses-almost-in-half monthly 0.5 2026-01-31 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/44326c28-6e64-40b3-a88d-eb0092caf5df/Defensive+Long.png Current Analysis - Defensive Shift Cut Weekly Losses Almost in Half - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/04a14f47-ac23-47a7-87c5-5591cf7c27a9/Wave+State+Trough+Entry.png Current Analysis - Defensive Shift Cut Weekly Losses Almost in Half - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-alert-defensive-long-portfolio-now-called-for monthly 0.5 2026-01-28 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/28c8aa03-cc78-4233-9b09-a2444957dfc0/Wave+State+Half+Down+Wave.png Current Analysis - Market Alert: Defensive-Long Portfolio Now Called For - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/44326c28-6e64-40b3-a88d-eb0092caf5df/Defensive+Long.png Current Analysis - Market Alert: Defensive-Long Portfolio Now Called For - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/markets-pull-off-a-late-stage-bounce-but-vulnerability-remains monthly 0.5 2026-01-24 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/1611d71d-4f40-42e4-a070-30b6b14f2ef1/Wave+State+off+peak.png Current Analysis - Markets Pull Off A Late Stage Bounce, But Vulnerability Remains - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/8fc08468-b070-48bf-9c98-629d14431ce7/Bullish+Continuation.png Current Analysis - Markets Pull Off A Late Stage Bounce, But Vulnerability Remains - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-pulls-back-as-expected-will-it-continue monthly 0.5 2026-01-20 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/1611d71d-4f40-42e4-a070-30b6b14f2ef1/Wave+State+off+peak.png Current Analysis - Market Pulls Back As Expected; Will It Continue? - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/strong-wave-strong-small-caps-market-now-vulnerable-at-the-top-of-the-cycle monthly 0.5 2026-01-18 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/92892a1d-f9d4-450a-83af-87cf3a5ff19d/Wave+State+Peak+Star.png Current Analysis - Strong Wave, Strong Small Caps; Market Now Vulnerable at the Top of the Cycle - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/8fc08468-b070-48bf-9c98-629d14431ce7/Bullish+Continuation.png Current Analysis - Strong Wave, Strong Small Caps; Market Now Vulnerable at the Top of the Cycle - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/markets-rally-as-expected-bullish-continuation-portfolio-remains monthly 0.5 2026-01-11 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/8fc08468-b070-48bf-9c98-629d14431ce7/Bullish+Continuation.png Current Analysis - Markets Rally As Expected; Bullish Continuation Portfolio Remains - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/32a59ae1-b4cc-4764-b24e-63083d593e78/Wave+State+Continuation+Star.png Current Analysis - Markets Rally As Expected; Bullish Continuation Portfolio Remains - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/markets-may-be-ready-to-exit-the-trough monthly 0.5 2026-01-03 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/06d4b98f-e42d-4910-a48c-2736d3ec5c00/Wave+State+Trough+Star.png Current Analysis - Markets May Be Ready To Exit The Trough - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/8fc08468-b070-48bf-9c98-629d14431ce7/Bullish+Continuation.png Current Analysis - Markets May Be Ready To Exit The Trough - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/wave-state-shift-from-defensive-to-bullish monthly 0.5 2025-12-28 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/06d4b98f-e42d-4910-a48c-2736d3ec5c00/Wave+State+Trough+Star.png Current Analysis - Wave-State Shift: From Defensive to Bullish - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/8fc08468-b070-48bf-9c98-629d14431ce7/Bullish+Continuation.png Current Analysis - Wave-State Shift: From Defensive to Bullish - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/wave-state-equity-model-proves-worthy-remains-defensive-long monthly 0.5 2025-12-13 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/ab39ea07-04e7-4ac9-a4f3-f186ad57a568/Wave+State.png Current Analysis - Wave-State Equity Model Proves Worthy, Remains Defensive-Long - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/the-market-has-a-rhythm-we-finally-modeled-it-and-it-beats-the-benchmarks monthly 0.5 2025-12-06 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/ab39ea07-04e7-4ac9-a4f3-f186ad57a568/Wave+State.png Current Analysis - A New Equity Market Model (This Could Be Big.) - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/moderate-returns-expected-following-a-big-move monthly 0.5 2025-11-30 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/8d6f93ee-43ed-450c-b5eb-387e9d998869/QQQ+7+day+emp.png Current Analysis - Moderate Returns Expected Following A Big Move - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/b73eebb9-b069-4299-ae8c-6757bae766ba/qqq+7+day+monte.png Current Analysis - Moderate Returns Expected Following A Big Move - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-update-fear-cooldown-and-a-cautious-bounce monthly 0.5 2025-11-23 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/00a022e1-6cf5-40b5-b6eb-e5680f326630/output+%2813%29.png Current Analysis - Market Update - Fear Cooldown and a Cautious Bounce - Make it stand out Note the negative skew of the SPY forward returns; significant negative returns are still possible. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/a5c14b69-f0f7-4d4d-8bb2-7afc06cf6f07/output+%2814%29.png Current Analysis - Market Update - Fear Cooldown and a Cautious Bounce - Make it stand out The QQQ skew is also negative, indicating that the possibility of significant negative returns is still possible. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-alert-historical-drawdown-pattern monthly 0.5 2025-10-30 https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/oaz5mn9xoehow5cmab9jzkyde2um88 monthly 0.5 2025-10-26 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/1872e008-a82e-494d-970e-c6306af5e8ab/Table.png Current Analysis - A Moderately Bullish Short-Term Pattern Is Expected - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/ad09f853-200c-41d1-94ca-242db016cbbe/SPY_7d_Percent_Scale_Annotated.png Current Analysis - A Moderately Bullish Short-Term Pattern Is Expected - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/1b517e21-0104-4896-a757-faee25612227/ROQ_Portfolio_7d_Pie_2025-10-25.png Current Analysis - A Moderately Bullish Short-Term Pattern Is Expected - Make it stand out Portfolio Allocation Pie Chart https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-analysis-building-smoothed-probability-forecasts-from-historical-data monthly 0.5 2025-10-18 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/f19d89d3-7083-4568-8bb4-331fe4ed7e98/output+%2811%29.png Current Analysis - Market Analysis: Building Smoothed Probability Forecasts from Historical Data - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/744f3e7b-42a1-4937-ae55-9a86d00beec4/output+%2812%29.png Current Analysis - Market Analysis: Building Smoothed Probability Forecasts from Historical Data - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/neutral-outlook-on-back-of-fomc monthly 0.5 2025-09-21 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/57c0c75b-9e8c-4db2-a3c8-405552122eed/output+%2810%29.png Current Analysis - Neutral Outlook On The Back Of FOMC - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/the-markets-balancing-act-a-defensive-turn monthly 0.5 2025-09-06 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/9023cd3a-ab10-41b1-8563-7e57d9ffdb7f/output+%287%29.png Current Analysis - The Market’s Balancing Act: A Defensive Turn - Make it stand out This chart shows the change in our research-driven portfolio construction algorithm recommendation over the last week. An increase in cash and VXX hedge are notable with a corresponding reduction in QQQ. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/e0f0fc78-a63a-4602-b2be-fba8afa4ac49/output+%288%29.png Current Analysis - The Market’s Balancing Act: A Defensive Turn - Make it stand out This distribution chart shows the return probabilities for SPY over the next 7 days with indicators at one standard deviation. Strikingly neutral. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/a1c20930-26e7-4ddd-b08d-5028d394c623/output+%289%29.png Current Analysis - The Market’s Balancing Act: A Defensive Turn - Make it stand out This chart shows the distribution returns for VXX over the next 7 days. Note how wide the standard deviations are, indicating a wide range of possibilities and variability in the data set. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/exercise-caution-ai-signal-is-aligned-for-september-swoon monthly 0.5 2025-08-29 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/47b2cee6-3e4c-4df9-bd9e-d6742fdc7236/output+%286%29.png Current Analysis - A.I. Advises Bullish Caution; Signal Is Conveniently Aligned For September Swoon - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/the-ai-was-right-about-the-snapback-now-its-calling-for-better-odds-for-bulls monthly 0.5 2025-08-24 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/b573947f-e113-42d0-9d58-3eb0598a1a4d/Barcharts+8.24.25.png Current Analysis - The A.I. was right about the snapback, now it’s calling for better odds for bulls. - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/rotation-from-risky-to-neutral monthly 0.5 2025-08-16 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/78eae19c-1364-47cf-b401-e69fa794d4aa/Prob+Chart.png Current Analysis - Rotation From Risky to Neutral - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/building-new-quant-models-with-gpt-5 monthly 0.5 2025-08-10 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/bf883cf4-c135-4824-9dcf-9e381a8d9841/Win+Rates.png Current Analysis - Building New Quant Models With GPT 5 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/quant-ai-signals-additional-caution monthly 0.5 2025-08-02 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/a6e4d267-97c0-42bd-94a8-744f3bfd699c/output+%283%29.png Current Analysis - Quant AI Signals Additional Caution - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/quant-ai-flashes-a-short-term-warning monthly 0.5 2025-07-29 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/92ff810a-e7b9-40b9-94a7-eaee4c5ea49d/output+%282%29.png Current Analysis - Quant AI Flashes A Short-Term Warning - Make it stand out The image above displays the probability of positive return by ticker symbol. Dashed lines indicate our model’s maximum and minimum probability limits. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/a-market-in-waiting monthly 0.5 2025-07-19 https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-internals-shift-to-a-more-cautious-stance monthly 0.5 2025-07-15 https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/quant-model-updates monthly 0.5 2025-07-12 https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/a-few-positive-signs-are-emerging monthly 0.5 2025-04-27 https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/a-little-bit-of-pain-why-consumer-debt-signals-a-coming-economic-storm monthly 0.5 2025-04-18 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/49915654-03af-4c0f-9ac6-59991fec83c9/VTI+Arrows.png Current Analysis - A Little Bit of Pain: Why Consumer Debt Signals a Coming Economic Storm - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/9be2b22c-2cb0-4a9a-9914-12411b424f05/Consumer+metrics.png Current Analysis - A Little Bit of Pain: Why Consumer Debt Signals a Coming Economic Storm - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/technical-pivot-or-fundamental-colapse monthly 0.5 2025-03-15 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/2f61e00f-a9c0-4b02-895d-8bc676a62e55/VIX.jpg Current Analysis - Technical Pivot Or Fundamental Colapse? - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/7944bec0-b557-4d60-9dfa-6e970a36a16d/output+%2860%29.png Current Analysis - Technical Pivot Or Fundamental Colapse? - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/finding-a-bottom-as-much-art-as-science monthly 0.5 2025-03-08 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/9ecc7632-e743-40a2-83c4-27db793178ab/output+%2859%29.png Current Analysis - Finding a bottom? As much art as science. - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/a-bullish-pivot-is-present monthly 0.5 2025-02-25 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/8953b811-3832-40fc-a24f-ce4508455544/output+%2858%29.png Current Analysis - A Bullish Pivot is Present - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/possible-bullish-pivot-next-week monthly 0.5 2025-02-22 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/bdaf2985-145e-4a9b-aeaa-f71fa8275a51/output+%2857%29.png Current Analysis - Possible bullish pivot next week? - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-alert-21325 monthly 0.5 2025-02-13 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/04b6d276-5ef3-48d2-9c78-a87893b71bd7/output+%285%29.png Current Analysis - Market Alert 2.13.25 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-update-2825 monthly 0.5 2025-02-08 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/f9d0a86f-1601-4fe2-8cbf-0b6f089e93d1/Gauges.png Current Analysis - Market update 2.8.25 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/the-game-theory-of-tariffs-whats-next-for-markets-in-2025 monthly 0.5 2025-02-02 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/6bc4c318-957b-46c5-810e-d0b67d3c0f55/Game+Theory+Table.jpg Current Analysis - The Game Theory of Tariffs: What’s Next for Markets in 2025? - Make it stand out Game Theory Matrix https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-update-12525 monthly 0.5 2025-01-25 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/175ecfe6-abb4-4f95-b3d2-1cc9259d4d28/Tabel.jpg Current Analysis - Market Update 1.25.25 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/969cd754-5348-4de1-b95f-90d5c74acb79/Whisker.png Current Analysis - Market Update 1.25.25 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/dc86299c-ef20-418f-a7c5-ec3a952a15f9/bar.png Current Analysis - Market Update 1.25.25 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/weekly-update-market-alert monthly 0.5 2024-12-14 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/106a6f6d-e185-427f-a3b4-1e498fefc5ad/Table.jpg Current Analysis - Weekly Update + Market Alert - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/d73eed75-95f9-4e69-8423-4c13fc544d6f/whisker.png Current Analysis - Weekly Update + Market Alert - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/55aeec3d-3933-4ad9-bd96-b2cb9b8512e2/bar.png Current Analysis - Weekly Update + Market Alert - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/weekly-update-12724 monthly 0.5 2024-12-07 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/5fb00a3a-31db-4ad2-892b-483419652982/Table.jpg Current Analysis - Weekly Update 12.7.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/3fbe038d-eee1-44fe-ac24-062de32be495/Whisker.png Current Analysis - Weekly Update 12.7.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/69ea843c-29b9-40bc-90be-28aa275ad68a/bar.png Current Analysis - Weekly Update 12.7.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/weekly-update-12124 monthly 0.5 2024-12-01 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/da540a78-391b-46ae-a2c4-77f6d7347d27/Table.jpg Current Analysis - Weekly Update 12.1.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/c7a35466-823a-4006-b900-461a83e03c09/whisker.png Current Analysis - Weekly Update 12.1.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/139b8009-fdca-46ac-9124-67f3f5f8bb1d/bar.png Current Analysis - Weekly Update 12.1.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/weekly-update-112324 monthly 0.5 2024-11-23 https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/weekly-update-111524 monthly 0.5 2024-11-16 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/3ff86602-2e27-41fb-adee-bd03efbb04a9/Table.jpg Current Analysis - Weekly Update 11.15.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/739f6e13-821b-4c60-b83f-ff0f2a0d5c76/whisker.png Current Analysis - Weekly Update 11.15.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/1870c285-1e13-42e3-ae8e-d60f10900b47/bar.png Current Analysis - Weekly Update 11.15.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-alert-exhaustion monthly 0.5 2024-11-13 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/fa273cc0-9e19-423b-8217-2f6f66457ac4/table.jpg Current Analysis - Market Alert: Exhaustion - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/weekly-market-update-11924 monthly 0.5 2024-11-09 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/b080eb68-d3d3-46b7-93b5-c05a5f219cda/Table.jpg Current Analysis - Weekly Market Update 11.9.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/e2c0c859-495b-4311-9ef7-cb3e6bcce12d/whisker.png Current Analysis - Weekly Market Update 11.9.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/7de74a85-3ddb-47e9-92ec-30232cefb138/bar.png Current Analysis - Weekly Market Update 11.9.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-alert-high-probability-pivot-in-progress monthly 0.5 2024-11-02 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/61b2ae9f-30ce-4d4c-b1f4-d6f2b02daec4/table.jpg Current Analysis - Market Alert: High Probability Pivot In Progress - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/ce347289-5681-48a6-8907-44e81b0fcb2f/Whisker.png Current Analysis - Market Alert: High Probability Pivot In Progress - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/812cc5d2-163f-4042-b875-3889972381ac/bar.png Current Analysis - Market Alert: High Probability Pivot In Progress - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-update-102624 monthly 0.5 2024-10-26 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/f27408c0-05e5-4732-ad9f-9a121ea5f626/table.jpg Current Analysis - Market Update 10.26.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/f06fb052-7c14-44ed-b0a0-045505d63d95/Whisker.png Current Analysis - Market Update 10.26.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/381ea6d7-0ab3-4c09-b4d4-081ff598d94d/Bar.png Current Analysis - Market Update 10.26.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-alert-exhaustion-reached monthly 0.5 2024-10-22 https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-update-101924 monthly 0.5 2024-10-19 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/1ce99f36-546f-454c-9669-dd2917472b6f/Table.jpg Current Analysis - Market update 10.19.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/59952df7-6ab9-4b14-b106-f8fe278264fd/Whisker.png Current Analysis - Market update 10.19.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/5d412368-746c-4a1f-94a0-3ca3b9410876/Bar.png Current Analysis - Market update 10.19.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-pivot-in-progress-101224 monthly 0.5 2024-10-12 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/44d1bf83-b05f-47f4-8ef2-05148c522509/Table.jpg Current Analysis - Market Pivot in Progress 10.12.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/fa44d627-cd47-46a3-aa71-93d62869be1e/whisker.png Current Analysis - Market Pivot in Progress 10.12.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/0acee810-889c-4b9c-a642-5d09799ca1af/bar.png Current Analysis - Market Pivot in Progress 10.12.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/dt1swb6mgmh2uej14i72xpi5v45gr4 monthly 0.5 2024-10-05 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/2bac852e-c44a-4e0e-ae3d-ae0bcb68eb49/Table.jpg Current Analysis - Pivot point incoming! Market update 10.5.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/38bf3be1-82d4-4930-bd9d-1e09675cf050/Whisker.png Current Analysis - Pivot point incoming! Market update 10.5.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/423a48d4-238c-41b7-b371-1487a4042ac0/bar.png Current Analysis - Pivot point incoming! Market update 10.5.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/k74berm3me3ff9lc0dq8zdrlwfh64b monthly 0.5 2024-09-30 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/0d5dcf5a-45ed-485f-b29d-cd239d57231d/Table.jpg Current Analysis - Market update 9.30.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/183cf373-e880-48b3-9542-319c70be0b14/Whisker.png Current Analysis - Market update 9.30.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/4ba8cf3c-a55b-4a8b-a0fa-f984824ae452/BAR.png Current Analysis - Market update 9.30.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/qpadnw9kh07xy0j404ev5padbn62yi monthly 0.5 2024-09-21 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/98ab5fed-f3ea-42d0-b013-d04b2f8ad932/Table.jpg Current Analysis - Market Update 9.21.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/4150a4a5-4117-46c8-bb98-95311bffae38/Whisker.png Current Analysis - Market Update 9.21.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/a47fb635-b93d-4206-a399-8a84d99876fe/Bar.png Current Analysis - Market Update 9.21.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/pre-fed-market-update monthly 0.5 2024-10-05 https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/r9utxe93fhesb4gezj5z36jko8kt9c monthly 0.5 2024-10-05 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/471f3350-f886-4f44-9fd7-047821f4da4d/Table.jpg Current Analysis - Market update 9.14.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/4aac9644-6ef4-43f7-af28-30f1d86f9d33/Whisker.png Current Analysis - Market update 9.14.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/7541bbb8-fd72-49bf-a3dc-9c7204f270bb/bar.png Current Analysis - Market update 9.14.24 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/aqsivd58ahkob6x0paroj3gzp3ebpt monthly 0.5 2024-10-05 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/48c202be-75dd-4d29-8349-6dfb98b1956b/Table.jpg Current Analysis - Market update 9.7.24 - Make it stand out In the table above, our model's predicted change indicates a slightly negative bias for all three indexes over the next seven days. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/6a741b25-c100-49d4-a170-a0ee2b316fc2/Whisker.png Current Analysis - Market update 9.7.24 - Make it stand out The whisker plot above shows an improving trend as we look out 14 days or more into the future. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/77f7e8fd-3965-4786-89f9-8ce8af7d5fb4/bar.png Current Analysis - Market update 9.7.24 - Make it stand out The bar chart above shows a significant improvement in the probability of positive return after the 14-day mark. We think this is aligned with the FOMC rate cut decision planned for mid-September. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-update-83024 monthly 0.5 2024-09-21 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/0583cb24-d275-46c9-83ca-88d6b090bf10/Table.jpg Current Analysis - Market Update 8.30.24 - Make it stand out Our model's outputs closely mirror last week's results, driven by the consistent market conditions that serve as our inputs. The price targets have been updated to reflect the latest closing prices as of August 30, 2024. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/3fbbed84-7557-4214-b9ed-1d91052dd10b/Whisker.png Current Analysis - Market Update 8.30.24 - Make it stand out The whisker chart above highlights significant standard deviations, reflecting a considerable level of historical market indecision under similar conditions dating back to 2012. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/64c17e0c-7f3d-4ba1-abe4-cef261a44e8a/Barchart.png Current Analysis - Market Update 8.30.24 - Make it stand out The bar chart above illustrates the probability of positive returns over time. The model's nominal probability of positive return is 63%, so when observed probabilities fall below this threshold, it signals historically significant downside risk in the market. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-update-82424 monthly 0.5 2024-09-14 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/5e5a1500-7963-47df-8aad-6d09611c8732/Table.jpg Current Analysis - Market Update 8.24.24 - Make it stand out Model outputs as of market close on 8.23.24. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/1ba70072-4015-423a-b311-bf8afee004a7/Whisker.png Current Analysis - Market Update 8.24.24 - Make it stand out The chart above displays the predicted changes in selected market indexes, with whiskers representing one standard deviation. Notably, the 7-day standard deviations extend significantly into negative territory, suggesting that any "bad news" could trigger substantial market pullbacks next week. On the other hand, there's also a considerable potential for gains, as the upper whiskers indicate possible extensions into positive territory. As a result, our outlook on the market is neutral at this point—neither bullish nor bearish. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/2c7a51da-2a9e-4d76-a2a4-88984701e23b/Bar.png Current Analysis - Market Update 8.24.24 - Make it stand out The bar chart above illustrates the probability of positive returns across different time horizons. Our model sets the nominal probability of positive returns at 63%. The probabilities shown in the chart fall significantly below this average, signaling an exhausted medium-term bullish market. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-update-81724 monthly 0.5 2024-09-07 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/93fe4324-e21e-47ee-b63b-214f3faba6b1/Tables.jpg Current Analysis - Market Update 8.17.24 - Make it stand out Model outputs as of market close on 8.16.24 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/07ce1b5b-a082-47fb-9747-bb7770e37c68/Whisker.png Current Analysis - Market Update 8.17.24 - Make it stand out Whisker plot of projected changes and standard deviations. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/8690a34a-1eba-4cbf-8550-100ba838d4bf/Bar.png Current Analysis - Market Update 8.17.24 - Make it stand out Bar chart of probability of positive returns. https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/market-alert-81424 monthly 0.5 2024-09-02 https://www.redoakquant.com/blog/bullish-sentiment-81024 monthly 0.5 2024-09-02 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/10052bfa-5cde-4633-b1d6-c93601eae157/Table.jpg Current Analysis - US Equity Market Directional Pivot In Progress - Make it stand out Predictive model outputs using data through 8.9.24. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/bc96ba6e-ab0d-422d-baa3-42abea088b19/Targets.png Current Analysis - US Equity Market Directional Pivot In Progress - Make it stand out Projected returns with +/- one standard deviation. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/6c229ac4-dd77-4e5b-bd69-09d39f09c76b/Bars.png Current Analysis - US Equity Market Directional Pivot In Progress - Make it stand out Probability of positive returns over various time horizons. https://www.redoakquant.com/home daily 1.0 2026-02-03 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/ab39ea07-04e7-4ac9-a4f3-f186ad57a568/Wave+State.png https://www.redoakquant.com/services daily 0.75 2024-08-07 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/6581fd2d9a7c875e912e0907/a5f53f79-f8ad-4ad3-941a-d9fcf0df2394/Sleek+Objects+2.jpg https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/6581fd2d9a7c875e912e0907/7dea3a66-4829-422f-8bdb-230a7ca603a8/Chair+.jpg https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/6581fd2d9a7c875e912e0907/19116ab1-4f67-4632-851b-8f0cf510b417/Sleek+Objects+1.jpg https://www.redoakquant.com/whitepaper daily 0.75 2024-10-24 https://www.redoakquant.com/contact daily 0.75 2026-02-03 https://www.redoakquant.com/member-site-homepage-1 daily 0.75 2024-08-10 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5ec321c2af33de48734cc929/1618497259178-6XJGK9GR6YAVBQL5L519/20140301_Trade-151_012-2.jpg Member Site Homepage 1 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5ec321c2af33de48734cc929/1607694583486-2PQT0LQ193RL7MCB6DX4/20140228_Trade+151_0046.jpg Member Site Homepage 1 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5ec321c2af33de48734cc929/1607694644871-IC85FNH781UNZSZEGHDR/Aro+Ha_0428.jpg Member Site Homepage 1 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5ec321c2af33de48734cc929/b0e76259-0a2d-4652-af34-d25143b6cd3c/02_CIRCLE_SHOT_3_0307_04_QC.jpeg https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5ec321c2af33de48734cc929/7981a6b2-6661-493c-b9dc-654a4b537c39/04_CIRCLE_SHOT_4_0422_03_QC.jpeg https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5ec321c2af33de48734cc929/27dca807-da34-43e7-a1ab-58f117dc7aca/01_CIRCLE_SHOT_6_0199_06a_QC.jpg https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5ec321c2af33de48734cc929/1dd36f65-c5db-447f-aa01-66161cdcde0c/Aro+Ha_0010.jpg https://www.redoakquant.com/media daily 0.75 2025-08-24 https://www.redoakquant.com/about daily 0.75 2026-01-24 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66b3d0b88afe8c7b22c549d5/d7cd2d6e-9307-4849-84dc-b454ffbb3bc1/LP+headshot.png